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Next: DISCUSSION Up: Relationships between Peak Ground Previous: INTRODUCTION

REVISED PEAK GROUND MOTION VERSUS INTENSITY RELATIONS

We summarize the correlation of tex2html_wrap_inline414 values and PGA for each of the individual earthquakes analyzed in Figure 1; Figure 2 shows a similar plot for PGV. The correlation and regressions of tex2html_wrap_inline414 versus PGA and PGV for the data from all eight earthquakes combined are shown in Figures 3 and 4, respectively.

   figure65
Figure 3: Modified Mercalli intensity plotted against peak ground acceleration for all events combined. Circles denote data; horizontal lines above data depict the range of the geometric mean, plus and minus one standard deviation. The solid line is regression from this study, the dashed line is assigned (see text for details). The dotted line is that of [Trifunac and Brady, 1975].

   figure72
Figure 4: Modified Mercalli intensity plotted against peak ground velocity for all events combined. Circles denote data; horizontal lines above data depict the range of the geometric mean, plus and minus one standard deviation. The solid line is regression from this study, the dashed line is assigned (see text for details). The dotted line is that of [Trifunac and Brady, 1975].

While there is no fundamental reason to expect a simple relationship between Modified Mercalli intensity ( tex2html_wrap_inline414 ) and recorded ground motion parameters, over a range of accelerations and velocities a simple power-law representation is adequate and convenient. We find that for PGA in the limited range of V tex2html_wrap_inline418 tex2html_wrap_inline414 tex2html_wrap_inline418 VIII,

  equation81

and for peak velocity (PGV) within the range V tex2html_wrap_inline418 tex2html_wrap_inline414 tex2html_wrap_inline418 IX,

  equation86

The correlation coefficients (r) for Equations (1) and (2) are 0.597 and 0.686, respectively. Here the regressions are made on the geometric mean of the peak horizontal ground motion values for a given intensity unit. For acceleration, tex2html_wrap_inline414 IX is not used in the regression since the peak acceleration values appear to saturate, and hence a simple power-law relation will not suffice. Likewise at tex2html_wrap_inline414 IV, PGA and PGV are biased high due to lack of digitization of data from stations with lower values and hence they are not used in the regression. For tex2html_wrap_inline414 IV, peak velocities do not continue decreasing, suggesting perhaps not only the above-mentioned bias, but also that a higher noise level (likely introduced in the integration of digitized recordings) may be controlling the peak values.

Requiring that the ground motion recording sites and tex2html_wrap_inline414 observation points have similar surface geology, in addition to the maximum distance requirement, did not significantly reduce the scatter shown in Figures 3 and 4. However, this may be a limitation of the map scale used in the geology classification []park98, and a more detailed association of the geology at the strong motion sites and intensity observations may be useful. Naturally, though, the association of an instrumental, point measurement of ground motion with an intensity observation defined as the maximum or average over a designated areal extent would be expected to show substantial scatter, particularly if the area does not contain the point measurement. This is a fundamental limitation originating from the definition of seismic intensity which requires an (unspecified) area be assigned a given intensity value based on the representative or average level of damage in the region; any single point observation in that area is not sufficient to satisfy such a definition.

As seen in Figures 3 and 4, low levels of shaking intensity correlate fairly well with both PGA and PGV, while high intensities correlate best with peak velocity. Basically, peak acceleration levels off at high intensity while peak velocity continues to grow. In contrast the ground velocities, derived by integration of digitized analog accelerograms, are noisier at low levels of motion and the scatter is somewhat larger. By comparing maps of instrumental intensities with tex2html_wrap_inline414 for the eight above-mentioned earthquakes, we have found that a relationship that follows acceleration for tex2html_wrap_inline414 <VII and follows velocity for tex2html_wrap_inline414 >VII works fairly well in reproducing the observed tex2html_wrap_inline414 .

Using peak acceleration to estimate low intensities is intuitively consistent with the notion that lower (<VI) intensities are assigned based on felt accounts, and people are more sensitive to ground acceleration than velocity. Higher intensities are defined by the level of damage; the onset of damage at the intensity VI to VII range is usually characterized by brittle-type failures (masonry walls, chimneys, unreinforced masonry, etc.) which are sensitive to higher-frequency accelerations. With more substantial damage (VII and greater), failure begins in more flexible structures, for which peak velocity is more indicative of failure []hall96. Our assumption is consistent with the recent analysis of [Sokolov and Chernov, 1998] which showed that seismic intensities correlate well for rather narrow ranges of Fourier amplitude spectra of ground acceleration, with 0.7-1.0 Hz being most representative of tex2html_wrap_inline414 > VIII, while the 3-6 Hz range best represents tex2html_wrap_inline414 V to VII; the 7-8 Hz range best correlates with the lowest tex2html_wrap_inline414 range. In addition, [Boatwright el al., 1999] have found that for the Northridge earthquake, PGV and the 3-0.3 Hz averaged spectral velocity are better correlated with intensity (VI and greater) than peak acceleration and their correlation with intensity and peak spectral velocity is strongest at 0.67 Hz.

While the range of tex2html_wrap_inline414 > V is well fit by a power law relation, this trend does not hold for lower intensities. Since we are also interested in estimating intensity at lower values with the peak ground motions, and our current collection of data from historical earthquakes does not provide constraints for lower intensity, we have imposed the following relationship (shown as a dashed line in Figure 3) between PGA and tex2html_wrap_inline414 :

  equation112

The basis for the above relationship comes from correlation of TriNet peak ground motions recordings for recent magnitude 3.5 to 5.0 earthquakes with intensities derived from voluntary response from Internet users [Wald et al., 1999b] for the same events. We determined that the boundary between ``not felt'' and ``felt'' ( tex2html_wrap_inline414 I and II, respectively) regions corresponds to approximately one-to-two cm/sec/sec, at least for this range of magnitudes. We then assigned the slope such that the curve would intersect the relationship in Equation (1) at tex2html_wrap_inline414 equal to V. We plan to refine this relationship as more digital data become available. The corresponding equation for PGV and tex2html_wrap_inline414 (shown as a dashed line in Figure 4) is:

  equation121

Table 1 gives the peak ground motion ranges that correspond to each unit Modified Mercalli intensity value according to our regression of the observed peak ground motions and intensities for California earthquakes.

  table125
Table 1: Ranges of Ground Motions for Modified Mercalli Intensities


next up previous
Next: DISCUSSION Up: Relationships between Peak Ground Previous: INTRODUCTION

Dave Wald
Fri Apr 23 13:12:36 PDT 1999